Bears vs. Saints odds, line: NFL playoff picks, 2021 Wild Card predictions from top model on 119-77 roll

The Chicago Bears will look to improve on their postseason success when they take on the host New Orleans Saints in an NFC Wild Card Game on Sunday at the Superdome. The Bears (8-8) have just one playoff win since losing Super Bowl XLI to the Indianapolis Colts on Feb. 4, 2007. Since winning Super Bowl XX in 1986, Chicago has just six postseason victories. The Saints (12-4), meanwhile, have also struggled since winning Super Bowl XLIV over the Colts in 2010, posting just four playoff wins in 10 games.

The game from New Orleans is scheduled to start at 4:40 p.m. ET. New Orleans is allowing 21.1 points per game, fifth-best in the league, while Chicago allows 23.1, 18th-best. The Saints are favored by 10.5-points in the latest Bears vs. Saints odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 48.5. Before making any Saints vs. Bears picks, check out the latest NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 23-13 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model also enters the 2021 NFL Playoffs on an incredible 119-77 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Bears vs. Saints. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds and trends for Bears vs. Saints:

  • Bears vs. Saints spread: Saints -10.5
  • Bears vs. Saints over-under: 48.5 points
  • Bears vs. Saints money line: Bears +450, Saints -600
  • CHI: Bears were 6-3 in games started by QB Mitchell Trubisky
  • NO: 8-7 in the NFL playoffs under coach Sean Payton

Latest Odds:

New Orleans Saints

Why the Saints can cover

Quarterback Drew Brees has racked up gaudy numbers in his career during the postseason. He has thrown for 4,967 passing yards (310.4 per game) and 34 touchdowns against 12 interceptions for a 99.6 rating in 16 career postseason starts. He passed for 280 yards and two scores with no interceptions in the Week 8 meeting at Chicago.

Also powering the offense for New Orleans is running back Alvin Kamara, who led the NFL with 21 touchdowns, including 16 rushing, and ranked third in yards from scrimmage at 1,688. Kamara led all running backs with a career-high 83 receptions. He had nine receptions and 163 yards from scrimmage, including 96 receiving, in the Week 8 meeting.

Why the Bears can cover

Chicago opened and closed the season on a roll and is just the third team in league history to make the playoffs after enduring a six-game losing streak at some point during the regular season. The Bears are hoping wide receiver Darnell Mooney, their second-leading receiver is available to play after injuring his ankle last week against Green Bay. Mooney, who is listed as questionable, caught 61 passes for 631 yards (10.3 average) and four touchdowns this year. He had six explosive plays and converted 33 first downs.

Also playing a big part in the Bears’ offense is tight end Jimmy Graham, who ranked second among NFC tight ends with eight receiving TDs in 2020. He had 386 receptions for 4,752 receiving yards and 51 touchdowns in five seasons with the Saints from 2010 to 2014. For the season, Graham was the fourth-leading receiver for Chicago with 50 receptions for 456 yards (9.1 average). He has four explosive plays and converted 32 first downs.

How to make Bears vs. Saints picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total. In fact, it says Trubisky will throw for over 200 yards and a touchdown, while New Orleans running backs will combine for more than 120 rushing yards and a score. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the pick here

So who wins Bears vs. Saints in the NFL Playoffs 2021? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs. Saints spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,900 on its NFL picks over the past five seasons, and find out.

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